Here is an accurate articulation of why "Size Doesn't Matter"
anymore when it comes to market influence and fundamental business
bootstrapping and development.
It's possible, even likely that Microsoft's RSS technology will
be the most-installed, and their influence on the future of the
format will be considerable, and it concerns me that at some point
they may throw their weight around like Apple is (I think it's
pretty likely they will, if not this year, then next year, or the
year after that).
But none of that means that I can't find enough users for my
aggregator, and you for yours, to be able to continue development
and influence the market, because we don't have to convince the
editors of PC Mag and PC Week that our products matter. When the
big dinosaurs, Microsoft, Lotus and Ashton-Tate, and later Borland,
wanted our market, the publications had little choice but to give
it to them. Now I am a publication myself. I can communicate
directly with users. That changes everything.
But even back then, if their product wasn't up to the job, their
attempts to take the market often failed. I remember when the CEO
of a very large software company came to me as a friend (hah) and
said I should get out of his way because he was going to take my
market. His product was inadequate, and it didn't work. He tried
again, and again it didn't work. And again, and again. And my
product was still standing. So even in the 80s, size wasn't enough
to get you a market.
Microsoft took spreadsheets by being much better than Lotus on
the Mac. Word emerged from the flock of word processors by being
the first to make it to Windows in a usable fashion. Adam, I don't
have to tell you how dBASE fell to Fox. I don't think they would
have overcome any of their competitors back in the 80s, if their
product had been as weak as their aggregator product is today. Same
thing is true, by the way, in their competition with Netscape.
Microsoft's browser probably would have won on its merits, they
didn't need to use anti-competitive tactics, their product was
better enough, and their development methodology strong, they would
would have won anyway, imho. (And so I argued, even pleaded, at the
time.)
On the other hand, the aggregator developers could sure use some
competition! In the last four years there really hasn't been very
much improvement, in fact I think in many ways we've lost
capabilities that we once had. Maybe a little pressure from a BigCo
will separate the winners from the losers in this space, and we can
start thinking about a market that is, instead of a market that
will be."
(Via Scripting
News.)
The points made by Dave extend across all industries. The
Internet and resultant "network effects" (exemplified by the
Blogosphere
amongst others) collectively close the door on size as the key
determinant of commercial success. "Size" is an artifact of the
"Industrial Age". We are now well in the throws of the "Information
Age".